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Honestly - since your profile advertises "Calling out bullshit in your own thinking and everyone else's is a very important skill."

Let me help try help you out :). Here are some more of your quotes:

'Everyone is ruled by incentives'

'If it's a derivative of a psychological bias <...>'

Rather strange to be making claims involving incentives and psychology, for someone that rules everything outside the 'hard sciences' as bullshit.

(FWIW I studied math, cs, applied math and physics at varsity but learned a great deal of knowledge that corresponds well with reality, outside of those fields)



You'll notice I said until further notice. This does not preclude from a) understanding psychology or b) being wrong.

Hence - until further notice everything I have ever stated is probably wrong and biased.

Just like everyone else.


Did you edit your reply? Not sure, but I suddenly read my rebuttal and I sounded like a dick, so I toned it down. Sorry - unusually cranky this morning :)

The article is quite probably BS as you point out, and I have no idea.

However keeping an open mind seems like a worthy goal, irrespective of the BS that goes on in any field and even if the social sciences do tend to be less empirically rigorous.

And while it's exceedingly complex, there are indeed some people (albeit a precious few), that understand how the economic machine works. Ray Dalio is one such example.




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