> When something was impossible only 3 years ago, barely worked 2 years ago, but works well now
Are you talking of what exactly? What are you stating works well now and did not years ago? Claude as a milestone of code writing?
Also in that case, if there are current apparent successes coming from a realm of tentative responses, we would need proof that the unreliable has become reliable. The observer will say "they were tentative before, they often look tentative now, why should we think they will pass the threshold to a radical change".
Are you talking of what exactly? What are you stating works well now and did not years ago? Claude as a milestone of code writing?
Also in that case, if there are current apparent successes coming from a realm of tentative responses, we would need proof that the unreliable has become reliable. The observer will say "they were tentative before, they often look tentative now, why should we think they will pass the threshold to a radical change".