"Deep learning works, and we will solve the remaining problems."
"It is possible that we will have superintelligence in a few thousand days (!)"
Technically a few thousand days covers quite a range. 20 thousand is 55 years.
On the Kurzweil graph, extrapolating hardware progress from 1900 through 2000, superintelligence seems to be roughly 2035, depending on how you define things. https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Kurzweils-8-71-chart-of-...
