The foreground applications will still be paged out, only now they will be paged out for longer.
Without background mode setup.exe would have a 48 MiB working set, for a short period of time.
With background mode setup.exe has a 32 MiB working set, plus 16 MiB of its memory is bouncing back and forth between the working set and the standby list.
Thus, none of its memory will get paged out and foreground apps will get paged out, and this will continue for 250 times as long.
The foreground processes will always get scheduled ahead of the background process, and be able steal its evicted pages from the Standby list, thus reducing their own need for paging to external media.
If all you care about is getting your updater to complete quicker, you should not be using the background mode, but ideally the Chrome updater would run in the background without affecting the performance of the foreground applications. Allowing for working set peaks, no matter how short, will fail to achieve that on systems experiencing memory pressure.
The foreground process will only get scheduled ahead of the background process if there is a shortage of CPU power. On today's many-core consumer machines it is much more likely that the background process will continue to make progress, with the only thing slowing it down being the repeated page faults.
Counting on CPU starvation to save memory seems like a very fragile solution.
I agree that commit peaks can affect foreground performance. I've filed bugs for an ephemeral 480 MiB bug in Chrome (caused by an errant product image), and I blogged about an errant 4 GiB allocation that wiped out the disk cache on my 8 GiB machine (https://randomascii.wordpress.com/2012/09/04/windows-slowdow...).
But treating working-set peaks as synonymous with commit peaks is problematic. I still believe that trimming of working sets will rarely save memory, and a working-set cap will virtually never be better than occasional trimming. The cap fails to address the higher-than-the-cap memory consumption in many cases, it just makes it more expensive.
Without background mode setup.exe would have a 48 MiB working set, for a short period of time.
With background mode setup.exe has a 32 MiB working set, plus 16 MiB of its memory is bouncing back and forth between the working set and the standby list.
Thus, none of its memory will get paged out and foreground apps will get paged out, and this will continue for 250 times as long.